Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.050258 0.054556 0.058905 0.063628 0.068606 0.073689 0.079265
2024-11-03 0.043199 0.049520 0.056147 0.063586 0.071677 0.080185 0.089781
2024-11-10 0.038104 0.045906 0.054350 0.064107 0.075007 0.086750 0.100296
2024-11-17 0.034321 0.043276 0.053251 0.065074 0.078590 0.093451 0.110914
2024-11-24 0.032540 0.042669 0.054231 0.068226 0.084526 0.102743 0.124465
2024-12-01 0.028243 0.038725 0.051023 0.066259 0.084368 0.104959 0.129890
2024-12-08 0.025285 0.036130 0.049178 0.065681 0.085646 0.108689 0.136954
2024-12-15 0.022852 0.033977 0.047685 0.065361 0.087095 0.112520 0.144073
2024-12-22 0.021903 0.033625 0.048346 0.067616 0.091610 0.119969 0.155474
2024-12-29 0.020576 0.032664 0.048145 0.068727 0.094680 0.125670 0.164807
2025-01-05 0.019297 0.031665 0.047814 0.069603 0.097411 0.130940 0.173627
2025-01-12 0.017544 0.029887 0.046352 0.068935 0.098136 0.133711 0.179397
2025-01-19 0.016494 0.029062 0.046154 0.069935 0.101035 0.139263 0.188720
2025-01-26 0.015003 0.027499 0.044873 0.069445 0.101991 0.142395 0.195095
2025-02-02 0.013912 0.026448 0.044234 0.069761 0.103955 0.146779 0.203034
2025-02-09 0.013101 0.025759 0.044053 0.070657 0.106655 0.152085 0.212135
2025-02-16 0.013068 0.026271 0.045587 0.073919 0.112503 0.161437 0.226374
2025-02-23 0.011485 0.024208 0.043300 0.071803 0.111137 0.161524 0.228925
2025-03-02 0.010449 0.022948 0.042120 0.071172 0.111708 0.164064 0.234559
2025-03-09 0.009572 0.021885 0.041174 0.070823 0.112622 0.167025 0.240722
2025-03-16 0.009423 0.022067 0.042120 0.073200 0.117277 0.174900 0.253228
2025-03-23 0.008999 0.021730 0.042244 0.074370 0.120272 0.180609 0.262978
2025-03-30 0.008547 0.021310 0.042211 0.075293 0.122919 0.185869 0.272173